TY - JOUR
T1 - The increased interest in Bitcoin and the immediate and long-term impact of Bitcoin volatility on global stock markets
AU - Bazán-Palomino, Walter
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Economic Society of Australia, Queensland
PY - 2023/12
Y1 - 2023/12
N2 - Recently retail and institutional investors have begun to include Bitcoin in their portfolios, creating a transmission channel for Bitcoin volatility and therefore increasing regulatory concerns. Using intraday data from 2013 to 2022, I propose a dynamic econometric model to examine the extent to which Bitcoin volatility is transmitted to stock markets in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific at different frequencies: contemporaneous and long-run. My findings challenge previous literature which has found Bitcoin volatility risk minimal and not long-lasting. I provide evidence that, since March 2020, there was a substantial increase in contemporaneous volatility transmission in all regions. However, the long-term effect of Bitcoin on North American and three European markets diminished, while it remained significant in most Asia-Pacific markets. Hence, policymakers should coordinate actions at the regional level to mitigate financial stability risks. Likewise, Bitcoin volatility is relevant for investors when deciding on the sizes and timing of their investments.
AB - Recently retail and institutional investors have begun to include Bitcoin in their portfolios, creating a transmission channel for Bitcoin volatility and therefore increasing regulatory concerns. Using intraday data from 2013 to 2022, I propose a dynamic econometric model to examine the extent to which Bitcoin volatility is transmitted to stock markets in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific at different frequencies: contemporaneous and long-run. My findings challenge previous literature which has found Bitcoin volatility risk minimal and not long-lasting. I provide evidence that, since March 2020, there was a substantial increase in contemporaneous volatility transmission in all regions. However, the long-term effect of Bitcoin on North American and three European markets diminished, while it remained significant in most Asia-Pacific markets. Hence, policymakers should coordinate actions at the regional level to mitigate financial stability risks. Likewise, Bitcoin volatility is relevant for investors when deciding on the sizes and timing of their investments.
KW - Bitcoin volatility
KW - Volatility transmission
KW - Contemporaneous contagion
KW - Long-term contagion
KW - Stock markets
KW - Volatilidad de Bitcoin
KW - Transmisión de volatilidad
KW - Contagio contemporáneo
KW - Contagio a largo plazo
KW - Mercados bursátiles
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85173877538&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/f390a1be-8589-313f-988a-e78d47c08d69/
U2 - 10.1016/j.eap.2023.10.001
DO - 10.1016/j.eap.2023.10.001
M3 - Article in a journal
SN - 0313-5926
VL - 80
SP - 1080
EP - 1095
JO - Economic Analysis and Policy
JF - Economic Analysis and Policy
ER -