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Violence and long run economic growth in the United States using improved data measurement

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle in a journalpeer-review

Abstract

We examine the patterns of lethal socio-political violence in the United States during the period between 1930 and 2025 and estimate their impact on income growth. The predominant type of violence shifted from riots to terrorism over time. Whereas such incidents were heavily concentrated in the south before the 1960s, they spread to all regions by the twenty-first century. Using improved data measurement and applying a difference-in-differences approach designed for multiple types of events, we find that overall socio-political violence had a significant adverse effect on the growth of personal incomes.
Original languageEnglish
JournalDefence and Peace Economics
DOIs
StateE-pub ahead of print - 5 Apr 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
  2. SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities
    SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities
  3. SDG 16 - Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
    SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

Keywords

  • Growth
  • Polarization
  • Targeted groups
  • Race
  • Unemployment
  • Social capital
  • targeted groups
  • social capital
  • race
  • unemployment
  • polarization

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