A Foresight Study of Department of Bolivar towards 2033

Julio César Acosta-Prado, Francisco José Mojica Sastoque, Julio Hernando Linares Salazar, Laura Ghisela Ortegon Torres

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle in a journalpeer-review

1 Scopus citations


This article is the result of a research project 'Bolivar 2033: A foresight study'. Its theoretical foundations are based on territorial foresight. Methodologically it was carried out in two stages: First, defining the state of the art, which included the analysis of the current situation and the study of technological surveillance and competitive intelligence. Second, through six workshops with stakeholders identifying change factors and prioritization of prevailing strategic variables for the future of the Department of Bolivar. As a result, eight possible future scenarios including a 'bet scenario' called 'Ave Fenix', plus 15 strategies selected for implementation were formulated.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)117-128
Number of pages12
JournalDevelopment (Basingstoke)
Issue number1
StatePublished - 1 Jan 2016


  • Department of Bolivar
  • scenarios
  • strategy
  • territorial foresight


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